April half-month performance: +0.99%

- Fund Performance (+0.99%)
- Index(s) performance (NIC and AFX)
- How I spent my earnings this month

So this is my first month trading, only effectively had half a month in the market. I also had shingles so i had very little active trading. 

Nonetheless thank you traders, once again great job!
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Performance of Fund

@newstrader - +4.21% one of the worse experiences in my trading life, so what happened was there was a averaging down of a losing position. While I do not think newstrader intended for it to turn out that way but loss about 20% of my position and my risk score went from 3 to 8 overnight.

You can read about it on newstraders feed and he admitted it was a mistake and he himself had trouble coming to terms with the position. But when it was all said and done, i trust this man even more.

I like people who have less BS and even more so when they are willing to connect with you on the etoro feeds. As such, keeping position the same with him.

@sameerah786 - -2.23% but for the month -0.94%, didn't do so well this month, my balance being down slightly  its ok, just probably timing

Too soon to evaluate, will keep position

@Doew85 - +0.66%, +0.55% for the month most trades first half of the month, nothing in the 2nd half. Maybe on break? Newsfeed also no news. Deserves a break, consistently good performance.

Too soon to evaluate, will keep position

@tradingrelax - +0.39%, 0.63% for a slow month as well

Too soon to evaluate, will keep position

There was another trader on my initial list, however I saw his stats when I was about to copy and immediately pulled out. It was a bad position with no SL in place.


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 Index Performance

NIC Index - to be honest im starting to fear the index, cause the longer it goes on. It scares me more.

The performance of the index shows that the total index produced about 0.17% with the average performance at -4.20%. 

The last time I did the index in February, I said poor performance was due to a troubling month which is quite understandable. The month of April, the month might have been worse. Not just from my NIC index but the AFX index as developed by Richard Levich, a professor from NYU Stern and a must read for academics reviewing currency funds performance (http://people.stern.nyu.edu/rlevich/afx_index.html)
  
So well done again to the traders, still did better than the average index.

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Spending Money!

I am going to be doing a post of this later this month on why I spend half my earnings every month and invest the rest.

Lets not kid ourselves people, this isn't easy. It is easier than a lot of things, but still isn't easy. it takes times, effort and earning months don't come along all the time.

For the first month I will be practising the tradition of offering of the first fruit. I am a Christian, the ancient practice is so beautiful and its for a good cause as the church is really involved in the community.

So my earnings for the first month of US$180* will be donated.

_______________________________________________________________

Stay safe people! 
Do leave comments and questions if you have any

*figures from my chart and the amount differ slightly cause there was 2 days difference, my bad

Learning Lesson / Reminder - USDJPY



- No one knows, and please don't be fooled by people who say they do.

Nomura released a statement giving all the possible reasons why the BOJ will indeed cause a depreciation of JPY, economic reports stating that JPY strength is detrimental to the economy, traditionally aggressive Abe-nomics usually acts in these senarios. Etoro indicated as least as at 8hrs before Japan that most were net long.

But the USD/JPY went down.

There was a lot of chatter on the USD/JPY newsfeed the other day, and I noted some people going around to the USD/JPY sudden news fluctuations and showing off as if they knew that this was going to happen.

For new traders, I know some of you come to the etoro platform to learn and I just want to tell you, there is no lesson to take away from this!
Mr. Markets is weird!

Unless a person made a claim before the downward spike and took a position because XYZ, i am very hard-pressed to say they are not just trolling. You will also see this on moderated boards, where the guru will give the reasons why he made money in the spike, yet when you post certain questions they never get published or get deleted.

While it is important to review trades like game tape, the market isn't like that unfortunately, sometimes it goes up and sometimes it goes down on the same piece of news. If it went up, it would say Bank of Japan did something, if it went down it is because they did nothing.

Follow a good system and base your entire sanity of your trading life on that.


Stay safe!

- Zechariah 

Changes for PI - Good or Bad? To me good


- changes in the AUM and Lower risk score

- I believe will improve overall quality of traders



So there has been some recent changes on etoro, you can read about it here


So what do the changes encompass? Basically a demand for a lower risk score and minimum AUM.

From what I can read from @Annietoro feed, I can see many people are upset about the changes and some Popular Investors are looking to drop out (“PI”). But honestly I can see why etoro is going in this direction.

_________________________________________________________________________

1)      Minimum AUM

I wrote briefly about a concern I had over some traders who had some strange returns, on my post here. “Skin in the game investing” is important and is one of the main things that have made etoro even remotely sucessful

 I have an abstract here:

“…. (this trader) was down 98% in one month then subsequently up 300% the next? It is most likely a last hooray before going bust. Let us put numbers to this, if you invested $1,000 and it came down 98% we would have $20 left, up 300%, $60. It happens!”

Unfortunately this behavior can be described as extremely destructive, because if someone has only US$2,000 or so, they might be taking more risk than someone who has $100,000 with etoro. I understand these numbers are relative, but generally speaking, this change should improve the quality of the etoro traders.

Not always but generally.


2)      A lower risk score


Risk score has always been defined by etoro as VaR (or Value at Risk), which means given the historical movement of what you are trading, what is the likely change in your total portfolio.

Try picturing it by hearing this analogy, you did your laundry in Manilla, Philippines and left it outside. Now, for the last 100 days it only rained 6-7 times and there was a thunderstorm once. What is the likelihood that tomorrow your clothes will not be drenched? While we don’t know but we can guess based on the probability that it is not likely.

What is being drenched in etoro terms? It is losing all the money you placed with the copied trader.

Another trader may represent another country, say London where it is more likely than not raining. So then the likelihood of your clothes being drenched goes up.

Some have commented that this will likely bring down profitability. I do agree, it will especially for the accounts that use a lot of leverage but it will bring down the Armageddon type events as well.


_____________________________________________________________________

Overall, just based on pure speculation, I believe these changes a push by etoro to improve the overall quality of traders being copied and to get approval for US investors. In the short term, I believe many lower quality PI will drop out, while some good ones may get lost as well.

In the long run though, for those who stick with it for perhaps the US investors come in, the AUM of PI will dramatically increase as they are the largest consumers of Financial Technology.

For the PI based in countries with weaker currencies, such as ___ please do appeal for a waiver for the AUM as I think it is unfairly removing you from the trades. For others I do certainly hope you stick with etoro, IMHO they are the ones who have had the branding and marketing to move the market, and in the future return for you will be greater. You already have a first mover, give it time and I think you will do better here than other platforms.





Side note: 1) I am not paid or commission by etoro and these are my own opinions, 2) my money is still tied up and yet to be released into etoro, aiming to be released on Monday so I have no positions at the moment. But I have allocated US$15,000 as my initial investment.

How much to invest in etoro?

How much to invest in etoro?

How much to invest? Well, in one of my posts I mentioned how I decided to only invest $10,000 with a maximum loss on Equity of US$7,000. So I thought it would be quite interesting to write a post about it.

As a copy-trader, we invest in the right traders, and the purpose of copy-trading is to sleep well at night and have your money work for you. You are not here to be glued at the screen while having dinner with your family or rushing a work deadline.

So lets be prepared for the absolute worse, so you can sleep at night.


Loss Aversion Theory

This is so true that there's a theory on it and that was so popular, I remember coming across it in 2 in my MSc Finance coursework and reading it shortly after in “Charlie Munger: The complete Investor”. I even read a statistical paper on traders about it. Its true people..

.


You don't like to take losses, this is a fact. Statistically, psychologists say we are far more likely to take close winners early and close losers late. I like the example from http://upfrontanalytics.com/. They say, “The most succinct example of loss aversion theory can be seen in casinos around the world. There, fun-seekers and hardcore gamblers alike all follow the same pattern: The first round they play–be it blackjack or slots–is to win. And what mostly happens in the second round? It’s to recoup losses.”

What can we learn from this? The traders we are copying have the same tendency. Have you ever seen a trader’s stat, who was down 98% in one month then subsequently up 300% the next? It is most likely a last hooray before going bust. Lets put numbers to this, if you invested $1,000 and it came down 98% we would have $20 left, up 300%, $60. It happens!

 P.S. one of the reasons why i believe in education, look at the number of copiers.

If you are a trader, we need to have risk management and you will continuously hear me harp over this over and over again. It is so important, so until I fully understand this aspect by the traders I am copying, I would like to limit the amount we invest to be able to stomach 70% loss.

I have no intention of ever losing money though, but it does happen. The reason why I go through the stats all the time is I believe this is a great tool that many people can use and can make some real money. Money was previously only accessible to the ultra rich but because of technology is now available to everyone. But I will not do it at the expense of people living their lives to the fullest.

So be very careful on how much we are prepared to lose.

Stay safe people!


Updates - Delay / Performance / Index


  
Hey people, just as a quick update I have yet to deposit any money because I am working with etoro on changing my username but it is a long long process and has proven difficult. I do hope to get this in soon so i can get actually start investing money.

After my first post on selecting my traders, MY FIRST CRUSADE: SELECTING TRADERS, the second most popular post on the blog at the moment, traders performed well in the market all outperforming the index (you can read about the index here & here). 

If any reader has another list of traders we can compare to, do leave a comment I would love to see how I am doing. I do have something i paid for that gives a watchlist, but i have not been very convinced by the selection of traders.

In trying to be simple, etoro can become a tad too simple, and we do need to get clarity on matters via the traders’ posts. We can study all the information that is given on etoro to track performance and such. However, there are things that cannot be answered by the info given such as lot size per trade, timeframe traded and most importantly risk management strategy. At the moment I will be guessing.
Since, I have not managed to get many comments from the traders themselves so I will likely be scaling back on my investment. I will be putting in less initial capital than i was hoping. Although, at the moment I do not lack confidence in my methods, but until I get full clarity on some traders I will still not commit the full amount.

As such, I would recommend to all etoro users, please only invest money which you can stomach a 70% loss. So if you invest US$10,000, be prepared to lose US$7,000. Reason is simple, I don't yet understand what risk management is used by the selected traders, so be prepared to lose more than expected. The problem with skin in the game investing is we don't know exactly how much "skin-is-in-the-game". Maybe the trader we invested in has US$5,000 and has been using the minimum in their account to join the popular investor program and get copied. But in truth their net worth is US$500,000, it would not be a big issue for them to trade like a manic, get lucky and get really good returns, but if they get burned by the same strategy, they can walk away. They have earned your commission and they walk away.

Etoro is brilliant don't get me wrong, but there are a few things we need to make sure would not be contributing to losing your big money. Firstly, understand the trader’s strategy, without interacting with them, this might prove challenging.  If I get comments back from them, I will update you guys once I get it.

Stay safe people!


NIC Index February & Market Overtone


- Index performed poorly this month, -6.22% in a volatile month

 Market Overtones
 G20: Underwhelming (All)
PBoC Cuts Required Reserve Ratio (All)
Oil Oil Oil! (OIL/AUD/CAD), 
Central Banks Continue To Tussle (USD/JPY/EUR)
Brexit! (GBP & EUR)

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NIC Index
The 50 most popular investors in etoro(for more on this, please click here) were not well performing well for this month, this is not surprising given the volatility of the market. However selfishly this has been a fantastic two months of to really see how the traders perform. More on this in a post coming soon.





Key economic overtones affecting currencies/ETF for the next month:
G20 - Underwhelming (All)
The G20 meeting didn't impress with the world economies not seeming to increase market confidence in an overall coordinated stimulus program. The thing about trading markets is most of this is perceived confidence, as in if there were strong statements by politicians perhaps the general news from all the FX/ETF/Investments sites would report a positive on confidence, but when we see headlines such as "G20... Underwhelming... not impressive.. No concreate action... etc" we tend to think that maybe they don't think a global recession is on the horizon.

With the recent slump experienced in the global equities market for the past 3 months, this may not be surprising that some portion of the market think this is happening. Personally I think it has to, we have been living in a time of low-interest rates, leveraging has been high. One can argue that other countries such as Japan and Europe are still providing low interest rates, but as short term view traders in FX and ETF, we only care about the mood of the Mr. Market and he is having some really bad diarrhea at the moment.

Those expecting this downward trend to end soon might have to wait a little longer. This will specifically affect ETF traders with long term views, be careful of resistance levels not holding as strongly as one would expect.


PBoC Cuts Required Reserve Ratio (All)


The Chinese Central Bank has decided to cut its required reserve ratio requirement for the banks. One of the main purposes of this is to provide liquidity in the market, and effective 1 March, this will drop by -0.5% to +17% (in line with expectations). While the numbers in themselves do not mean much, the comments that they made were quite interesting, “guide stable and appropriate growth in credit and create appropriate monetary and financial conditions for supply-side structural reform”, likely meaning they are trying to maintain their target growth rate.

China has been pretty much a one trick pony when it comes to stimulating the economy, at the moment they are looking at increasing the liquidity till their "one belt one road" can provide some much needed fundamental upside. But till then, I feel China will continue to cut rates till they reach their target growth rate.

The most affected by these comments should be the commodities and related currencies for volatility (AUD & CAD), although I feel this is likely already priced into current levels. Mr. Market tends to overreact a lot of the time, and when first news of all the myriad of slowdown, raising interest rates and not to mention oil slump, we can already see the major drop in the currencies.



Speaking of which!!

Oil Oil Oil! (OIL/AUD/CAD)
Oil (which we can trade on etoro directly, though i will not focus on this due to my lack of understanding of this instrument, I have some exposure outside etoro, but they are stock related so far far less volatile and doesn't need to be traded at frequent intervals) the top global producers agreed to discuss fresh efforts to stabilize the market. The Venezuelan Oil Minister Eulogio Del Pino that they would include Saudi Arabia, Russia and Qatar, to steady prices. OPEC-Russia also announcement to freeze production output.

However this on-again, off-again deal that has been in the works for weeks,

To be absolutely honest with you guys, the fact that oil has slumped 70% over a 20-month rout is mind blowing to me. Again I have no expertise in commodities, my circle of confidence is still within the FX / ETF space. But any rout so heavy without a correction is scary.

For us though, just keep an eye on the commodities currencies.

Central Banks Continue To Tussle (USD/JPY/EUR)
Mr. Market might be in a super bad, a good mood, or just kinda cruising along on the Fed (March 16th), ECB (10th) and BoJ (15th) for later this month depending on what kind of monetary policy clues is presented to him.

JPY - "BoJ Governor Kuroda reiterated that Japanese policy makers stand ready to lower rates further if necessary, monitoring the impact of negative rates on markets and the real economy." Yes, yes, we can go on and on about Abenomics and its effect but let’s not, again, lets focus on Mr. Markets and his moods, interest rates up, unhappy and yen goes up? Maybe happy and yen goes down? Time will tell on this one. Mr. Markets is very unpredictable.

Oh by the way, the governor has pledged to continue with negative rates and QE until their +2% inflation takes hold.
EUR - The European Central Bank is a funny one to watch with ECB chairman Draghi stating the bank will be swift to act. But this may not be true especially given not all board members see eye-to-eye. French board members already talking about the need for anticipated extra easing measures. The German board member agreed however said that said it would be dangerous to further expand already “highly accommodative” monetary policy given the longer-term risks and side effects of negative rates. So now what? Hopefully the best and brightest from Europe can figure this out.

The thing about these combined currencies, is historically they don't last, as in after a while they disband at some point of time. People argue that the US has done it for a long time, and that is true, but they also had a single government, without this, there tends to be a disconnect between policies which protect the economy and social policies. The Bank of England’s former governor also said the same, stating its “created a conflict between a centralized elite on the one hand and the forces of democracy at the national level”, producing dangerous consequences.

Not a déjà vu but speaking of which


Brexit! (GBP & EUR)
The Brexit is also an interesting one to watch, like mentioned above, it doesn't traditionally work to have a combined currency. The divergent social and economic issues is a real issue, and another factor is the strong GBP vs. the weaker cable, it is a disadvantage to Britain. They do stand to benefit to gain from preferential economic agreements between the Eurozone members, but losing out on social issues might be too much for them

If the Brexit (Britian Exiting the Eurozone happens), the Grexit (Greece Exiting the Eurozone) becomes far more likely. And given the sheer amount Greece owes to the various countries. This might become a major issues.

Do continue to watch the GBP & EUR currencies as D-day approaches.


My First Crusade: Selecting Traders


Tada! After evaluating a whole lot of traders, here is a detailed analysis of the traders I will be copying. But before I copy with real money, I need to ask the traders a few questions following this analysis. One of the brilliant things about Etoro is the ability to speak to the traders directly, so why not use it?

I will post updates at a later time. Do subscribe to my blog below to get continuous updates delivered to your inbox.


So far, these are the traders I have identified.


My evaluation criteria has been outline in my post: "TheScience/Art Of Evaluating: What To Look Out For When Selecting A Trader"



Trader 1: Newstrader

1)      Portfolio – Mostly FX and ETF, within my criteria

2)      Average return and loss – Not too bad on the risk reward, what I really don’t wish to see if 20% upside return but 80% average losses. This would probably mean the trader is holding on to bad trades and waiting for the tide to turn in their favour and only taking losses on really bad events.

3)      Historical trades - The historical trades as far as I can tell is not averaging down, however there seems to be opening of 3 positions per entry. This is probably a question I would like to pose to the trader.

4)      Returns per month against the NIC index – this trader performed at -0.32% against the index, which means against the 50 most popular traders on Etoro, he has a return slightly below the average. I am personally looking for inline or above the index.

 Trader 2: Doew85

1)      Portfolio – Mostly FX, within criteria. Mainly a GBPUSD and USDJPY trader, most traders on Etoro are EURUSD Traders so this provides some element of diversification.

2) Average return and loss – Excellent risk return on this trader, his average losses are much smaller than his average grains for the 3 most frequently traded instruments. 

3)Historical trades - The historical trades as far as I can tell is not averaging down, however I do see a tad bit of revenge trading, might ask trader about it.

4) Returns per month against the NIC index – this trader performed at 37.47% against the index, this is the best returns against the index that I have found that fits my criteria.


Trader 3: Sameerah786

1)      Portfolio – Almost 100% FX, within criteria. Mainly EURUSD, GBPUSD and GBPCHF trader.

2)      Average return and loss – I am a bit divided on this point as risk reward ratio for the EURUSD seems to be significantly less than a 1:1 Ratio i am looking for. I will check with her on this, if answers are inline with my own risk tolerance I will still copy here.

3) Historical trades – I have one thing with this trader that I can’t seem to reconcile. This would have to be related to my above point as well. 100+% loss on this trade and 2 trades nonetheless. It happened twice and it is strange, other than that great trader.

4)      Returns per month against the NIC index – this trader performed at -5.98% against the index, this is the low compared to the index and even the watchlist. However I needed two traders with a low standard deviation but stable returns because of the portfolio theory nature of diversification. More on this will come in a later post.

Trader 4: Tradingrelax

1)      Portfolio – Almost 78% on FX and ETF. Within criteria, I don’t like the stock element but I don’t mind because it’s of a low percentage.

2)      Average return and loss – It is not great, specifically there were trades that took a loss of 100% the reason why the risk reward wasn't great.

3)      Historical trades – Same as above, strange amount of losses, will ask trader about it. Seems to only be on EURUSD though, the gold only took one loss but at 15%, but then again it was only a single loss out of 18 wins. 2.16% returns overall.

4) Returns per month against the NIC index – this trader performed at -7.56%% against the index, this is the lowest in my active portfolio compared to the index and even the watchlist. However I need two traders with a lower standard deviation of portfolio but stable returns because again of the portfolio theory nature of diversification


Trader 5: Alkimistic

1) Portfolio – Almost 100% FX, within scope 

2) Average return and loss – Excellent, average loss for the most traded asset EURUSD has a return of 36% vs. loss of 19%. 

3) Historical trades – Mostly EURUSD, however despite the above results and low average loss, looking at the historical trades, I did note average losses were high. But so did some of the profits.

4) Returns per month against the NIC index – The trader performed well, achieving +1.29%


The Science/Art of Evaluating: What To Look Out For When Selecting a Trader





How do you choose who to invest with? There are so many ways people to copy. The worse thing i can see if when people copy the most popular trader and go with it. People, it doesn't work 95% of the time.

So here's i have my broad strokes suggested methodology and you can view my individual evaluations of each trader.

My default assumption is that you are a high risk, high return investor. Reason being, FX is of that nature. if you are looking for steady returns please turn the page now. High return low risk rarely exists. 

1) Portfolio - i am looking for FX or ETFs, not a large allocation of stocks. i have a different evaluation methods for stocks, so i try not to touch stocks on etoro.

2) Average return and loss - I like seeing discipline in traders, regardless of strategy, discipline prevents you from losing massive amounts in the market. 

3) Historical trades - The historical trades can tell you a lot about a trader. In fact some are very good in being active on their pages. But i generally do not like traders who average down, i.e. load up on a losing position in hope the market will move in their favour. While i find it works, the worst case scenario is continuous loading and you could lose everything especially in the absolute events.  

An example of what I suspect is averaging down

4) Returns per month against the NIC index - the NIC index is something i came up with and you can read about it here

Introducing the NIC Index


It is difficult to measure the market performance and evaluate each trader. It got me thinking, since stocks have the S&P500, the FTSE, TA100 and all that. What do we have for currency? There are some out there such as the AFX index, but to me that is not as appropriate or updated sufficiently. So why not create my own?


I started this idea by copying the most copied traders with only 1 criteria as at 17th January, portfolio must maintain currency of more than 70%. After which we just measure input the returns as per January 2015 and give each trader 20 points. (i.e. January 2015 the index starts with 1,000 or 20 x 50 traders). 

So put simply what are we using this for? The index just as a benchmark of returns.
Say a potential trader makes 7% is this good? What if a trader makes 7% but most people are making 10%. More importantly what if the trader lost 2% that month? But the market lost 5%. Doesn’t that mean the trader did well?


Nope may not be the best way to do this. But it’s what I've come up with. 

 

The purpose of this index will be to benchmark average performance of the selected traders and also to get a sense of how the market is doing.

I do welcome any feedback or comments, so do leave your comments below. For the sake of simplify, i will not constantly rebalance the portfolio, but once it is changed you can read about here or sign up for my e-mail list and receive it directly in your inbox,  





5 Reasons I Like Etoro Vs. Traditional Trading



Finally, 21 years old. Who remembers that feeling of waking up and saying, “Now life really begins for me.” Such an exciting time full of optimism over what life is going to bring to you. We go out, have a huge party and drink to the edge of consciousness.


Well, my 21st birthday was slightly different. The months and couple of years leading up to this faithful day, I was taking trading seriously thinking it was going to be a make-or-break for me. Maybe I was going to be a superstar trader and people would recognize how great I was. Finally, I was at the legal age where I could own my very first trading account. So I woke up that morning, had a normal breakfast, took a bus into town, walked over to the bank to get a check from the bank teller, and walked across the street to open my very first brokerage accounts.


My key to life was finally here! And I did well! In the first month, I made $1,000 from my $3,000 account. I remember withdrawing some of the money and treating my friends and family to a great meal. I even bought a new skateboard. Man it felt great! What felt even better was that a close friend who was going be a missionary was raising money, but as a full time student, no one expected that I could fork out $800. Nothing, and I mean absolutely nothing, feels better than 1) providing for your family and 2) giving money away. You can call it the Law of Attraction or something, but I just think it innate to our human nature. 


Alas, the reality was, trading isn't easy, it is BRUTAL. A short year later, I busted my accounts.  It was so absolutely humiliating after all the hype and talk of earning big bucks vanished.  

I did eventually open another and successfully traded my way through university earning about 3-7% a month and even managed to get a job as a part-time trader in a hedge fund. I've also learnt some important lessons from my busted account. And here are five reasons I think technology is changing the way we invest.   




Reason 1: Remember Rare Pokémon? They are rare for a reason.



Mew-two: Remember this little rare fella? 

It is possible to make money. It doesn't matter what people say; it is possible. Is it a very small percentage? Absolutely. It is possible? Absolutely. It is possible to do it full-time and quit your job? Absolutely.

Read this book if you need proof. But again, these are the rarities and should not be taken as the norm.

On etoro there are some consistently profitable traders, and I believe I have found them. Wouldn't it be great if you could hire them to trade your money?

Also the learning curve is steep and time and money investment is high, amongst others the lessons to be learned. There’s the months upon months of papers trading, and at the end of it, you might not even be that good at it. Or worse yet, the system you have does not fit your schedule or your personality type.

Even if you are willing to go through that pain, what happens if you lose your first account? I once met some traders who described the experience of losing their first real money account as part of the “school fees.”

Etoro has some people who have already paid the school fees. Why not ask them to trade on your behalf?



Reason 2: Batman? Billionaire playboy by day and superhero by night.

I can do this on the side and still work a full time job. Well some people are able to for inspiration please read the Millionaire Traders: How Everyday People Are Beating Wall Street at Its Own Game, i should be doing a book review soon. But if you have responsibilities I would like to present you with a term called "ego depletion." We all have a limited reservoir of ego or decision-making abilities in a single day. If you have a stressful job, a wife and a kid, will you still have the mental ability to manage the super stressful arena of trading? I remember how I used to hide in the toilet to monitor my trades. Not something I would recommend.  For more on this, you can read Willpower by Roy Baumeister and John Tierney.

And honestly, do you really want to spend your time glued to the screen? I find most people who get into trading want to get into the game to have enough money to do something they really love. Or rather, the freedom to do things they just don't have the time and money for.

If you knew your end goal and are patient enough to earn it, wouldn't investing your money in someone who knew the market be better? After all, even the most seasoned traders don't make as much as you think.



Reason 3: Why be Robin when you can be Batman? 

Throwback Robin "Holly smokes Batman"

But wait, didn’t you trade part time when you were in school? Why do you want to recommend copytrading instead of doing this yourself?

While I was in school, I could sleep when I needed to as long as there weren’t classes, study when I wanted to, and I had Sundays to catch up on sleep and had no family obligations. Depending on your lifestyle, you may not have the ability to do this.

I will have to do my own monitoring, but since I will be in the market I will not need to handle the nitty gritty everyday stress.



Reason 4: Okay, fine, I'm not batman, but I can buy a Robocop - Robotraders? They seem to do well.


Well, it’s not right for me to make a sweeping statement about Robotraders, but honestly I have found that systems may work for a while and completely disappear later. I bought one system way back in 2010, backtested to good effect, and realised it didn't provide as many returns as advertised. 

Yes, the buy my robot “and in no time buy a Ferrari” doesn’t really apply.

The trading strategy I was using in 2008 may not apply in 2012 and certainly hasn't in 2016. Some robotraders promise continuous updates, but if you were to ask me, humans still triumph over the machines.

And please don't mistaken Robotraders for HFT (High Frequency Trading). This is a "Big-boys Only Club" and is essentially riskless. 



Reason 5: Doomsday virus - what if the trader goes nuts?
Doomsday Virus Even Superman has a bad day right?

Yes, humans have emotions, too. What happens if they go berserk and forget their strategy?

Etoro has one unique feature to settle this over traditional funds: Your fund manager will lose money if you lose money. It is estimated that for a traditional mutual fund, less than 10% actually have a stake in their own fund! If the fund loses money, they lose nothing. 

Copytrading means if you lose money, the trader on the other end of the trade loses money as well. Finance geeks know this as "skin in the game," as popularized by Naseem Taleb.

“Instead of relying on thousands of meandering pages of regulation, we should enforce a basic principle of ‘skin in the game’ when it comes to financial oversight: The captain goes down with the ship; every captain and every ship. In other words, nobody should be in a position to have the upside without sharing the downside, particularly when others may be harmed. While this principle seems simple, we have moved away from it in the finance world, particularly when it comes to financial organizations that have been deemed ‘too big to fail .’” - Nassim Nicholas Taleb and George A. Martin


In the case of Etoro, this is very true.